In 30 AD, there were perhaps a few hundred Christians, all in Jerusalem. By 300 AD, there were millions, spread across the Roman Empire. How did a small, persecuted, predominantly lower-class movement grow into the dominant religion of the empire? This page examines the evidence and the sociological models that have been proposed to explain it.
The Numbers
The most influential modern study is Rodney Stark’s The Rise of Christianity (1996). Stark, a sociologist of religion, estimated that the Christian movement grew at roughly 40 percent per decade, from about 1,000 members in 40 AD to somewhere between 6 and 7 million by 300 AD — roughly 10 percent of the empire.
Keith Hopkins, a British ancient historian, argued for a lower estimate: perhaps 3.4 million by 300 AD, or about 5 percent of the empire. His model assumes growth of about 30 percent per decade. His estimate is more conservative, but the direction is the same.
The Estimates
What the Evidence Shows
We have three kinds of evidence for the growth of the early Christian movement.
The Evidence
The Patterns of Growth
The movement did not grow through mass revivals. It grew through households, networks, and personal relationships. The evidence suggests several patterns.
How the Movement Grew
Why Sociologists Find This Interesting
Sociologists of religion have noted that the early Christian movement displays several features that social science predicts will produce rapid, sustained growth.
The movement was a social network, not a mass movement. It spread from person to person through existing relationships. Converts typically joined because someone they trusted was already part of the community.
It offered clear boundaries. Christians were visibly different from their pagan neighbors in their sexual ethics, their treatment of the poor, and their refusal to participate in Roman religious life. This produced a distinct identity.
It offered real benefits to people who joined. Sick Christians were cared for. Widows were supported. Slaves were treated as brothers. The practical benefits of membership were substantial in a world without a social safety net.
It made a claim about history. Unlike the mystery religions, which offered spiritual experience without historical grounding, Christianity claimed that God had entered history at a specific time and place. This claim could be investigated, argued about, and defended.
What the Growth Does and Does Not Show
The growth of the early Christian movement does not, by itself, prove that its claims were true. Many movements grow rapidly and are false. But it does establish that the movement was historically significant and that its growth cannot be explained solely by imperial favor or social coercion. In the first three centuries, Christianity had no imperial support and considerable imperial opposition. It grew despite persecution, not because of patronage.
The growth is one part of the historical case. The claim that the movement was founded on a hoax must explain how a hoax produced this kind of sustained, cross-class, cross-cultural growth over two centuries. That is not impossible, but it is harder than the alternative.
